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Strategy Analysis nâng cao — Phần 1: Current State & Future State

Strategy Analysis nâng cao — Phần 1: Current State & Future State

Strategy Analysis — CBAP Level (15%)

Strategy Analysis chiếm 15% trong CBAP (tăng từ 12% trong CCBA), phản ánh kỳ vọng CBAP holders phải có strategic thinking mạnh. Đây là KA thể hiện rõ nhất sự khác biệt giữa "senior BA" (CCBA) và "strategic BA" (CBAP).

4 Tasks trong Strategy Analysis

Task 1: Analyze Current State

Framework phân tích Current State

SWOT Analysis — Enterprise Level

SWOT Strategies

StrategyCombinationCBAP Action
SO (Maximize-Maximize)Strengths + OpportunitiesLeverage BA team → expand to SEA market
WO (Minimize-Maximize)Weaknesses + OpportunitiesAddress legacy → enable digital transformation
ST (Maximize-Minimize)Strengths + ThreatsUse market position → defend against competitors
WT (Minimize-Minimize)Weaknesses + ThreatsFix skill gaps → prepare for regulation changes

PESTLE Analysis

FactorDescriptionCBAP Example
PoliticalGovernment policies, stabilityHealthcare: Policy changes affect compliance
EconomicGrowth, inflation, exchange ratesBanking: Interest rate changes affect loan products
SocialDemographics, culture, trendsRetail: Gen Z shopping behavior shifts
TechnologicalInnovation, automation, disruptionInsurance: AI/ML for claims processing
LegalLegislation, compliance, standardsFinance: GDPR, SOX compliance requirements
EnvironmentalSustainability, climate, resourcesManufacturing: Carbon reporting requirements

Porter's Five Forces

Root Cause Analysis — CBAP Level

💡CBAP: Root cause vs Symptoms

CBAP test khả năng phân biệt root cause vs symptoms. "Customer churn tăng" là symptom. "Lack of technology modernization" là root cause. Đáp án đúng luôn address root cause, không phải symptoms.

Task 2: Define Future State

Future State Components

SMART Objectives

ElementBad ExampleSMART Example
Specific"Cải thiện service""Giảm thời gian xử lý đơn hàng"
Measurable"Tốt hơn""Từ 48h xuống 12h"
Achievable"Hoàn toàn tự động""Tự động 80% đơn hàng tiêu chuẩn"
Relevant"Mọi quy trình""Quy trình đơn hàng online"
Time-bound"Sớm nhất có thể""Hoàn thành trong Q4 2026"

Business Model Canvas — CBAP Tool

BlockCurrent StateFuture State
Customer SegmentsB2B large enterpriseB2B + B2C SMB expansion
Value PropositionOn-premise ERPCloud-based SaaS ERP
ChannelsDirect salesDirect + Partner + Online
Revenue StreamsLicense + maintenanceSubscription (MRR)
Key ResourcesOn-prem infrastructureCloud infrastructure + DevOps
Key ActivitiesCustomization projectsProduct development + support
Key PartnershipsFew resellersCloud providers + ecosystem
Cost StructureHigh CAPEXLower OPEX, scalable

Gap Analysis — Enterprise Level

Gap Analysis Framework

Gap Analysis Matrix

AreaCurrent StateFuture StateGapPriority
Order ProcessingManual, 48hAutomated, 12hProcess automation🔴 High
Customer PortalNoneSelf-service portalNew capability🔴 High
ReportingExcel-basedReal-time dashboardBI platform🟡 Medium
Mobile AccessNoneMobile appNew channel🟡 Medium
Data IntegrationFile-based ETLReal-time APIIntegration platform🟢 Low

Business Case Development

Financial Analysis Methods

MethodFormulaUse Case
ROI(Benefits - Costs) / Costs × 100%Quick comparison between options
NPVΣ [Cash Flow / (1+r)^t]Long-term investment comparison
Payback PeriodInitial Investment / Annual Cash FlowTime to recover investment
IRRRate where NPV = 0Compare with hurdle rate

Ví dụ tính ROI:

ItemOption A (Build)Option B (Buy)
Initial Cost-$500,000-$300,000
Annual Benefit$200,000$150,000
Annual Maintenance-$50,000-$80,000
Net Annual Benefit$150,000$70,000
3-Year ROI($450K-$500K)/$500K = -10%($210K-$300K)/$300K = -30%
5-Year ROI($750K-$500K)/$500K = 50%($350K-$300K)/$300K = 17%
CBAP exam: "Do Nothing" option

Luôn include "Do Nothing" (status quo) trong options analysis. Đây là baseline để so sánh. Nếu "Do Nothing" cost < thay đổi → có thể hợp lý! CBAP test khả năng objective evaluation, kể cả khi stakeholder muốn thay đổi.

Câu hỏi CBAP thường gặp về SA (Part 1)

Scenario 1

Công ty phân tích current state cho thấy 3 root causes. Executive muốn address cả 3 cùng lúc nhưng budget hạn chế. BA nên:

A. Address root cause lớn nhất
B. Analyze cost-benefit cho từng root cause, recommend phased approach
C. Yêu cầu thêm budget
D. Address tất cả với reduced scope

Scenario 2

BA đang define future state objectives. Stakeholder nói "muốn hệ thống nhanh hơn". BA nên:

A. Document "improve system speed"
B. Probe for specifics: "Nhanh hơn nghĩa là gì? Từ bao lâu xuống bao lâu?"
C. Dùng industry benchmark
D. Để technical team define

Scenario 3

SWOT analysis reveal strength lớn nhất là "experienced team" và opportunity lớn nhất là "market expansion". BA nên recommend:

A. WT strategy
B. WO strategy
C. SO strategy — leverage experienced team for market expansion
D. ST strategy

Key takeaway

Strategy Analysis Part 1 = Understand where we are (Current State) + Define where we want to be (Future State) + Quantify the gap (Gap Analysis) + Build the case (Business Case). Mọi recommendation phải dựa trên data và analysis, không phải intuition.

📝 Tóm tắt kiến thức nổi bật

Key Takeaways — Bài 6
  • SA ở CBAP chiếm 15% (vs 12% CCBA) — yêu cầu enterprise-level strategic thinking
  • SWOT + PESTLE + Porter's Five Forces: Ba frameworks chiến lược kết hợp cho Current State Analysis toàn diện
  • Root Cause Analysis: Fishbone (Ishikawa) + 5 Whys — dig deep, don't treat symptoms
  • Future State: SMART Objectives + Business Model Canvas → clear, measurable destination
  • Gap Analysis: Current → Future → identify gaps → define actions to bridge
  • Business Case: Problem → Options → Financial Analysis (ROI, NPV, Payback) → Recommendation → Risk Assessment
  • Mọi recommendation phải dựa trên data và analysis, không phải intuition

📋 Bài kiểm tra trắc nghiệm — Bài 6

💡Hướng dẫn làm bài

Làm 10 câu bên dưới trong 17 phút. Đáp án ở cuối bài.

Câu 1. PESTLE Analysis examines which external factors?

  • A. Product, Engineering, Sales, Testing, Legal, Ethics
  • B. Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, Environmental
  • C. People, Evaluation, Strategy, Timing, Leadership, Execution
  • D. Project, Estimation, Scope, Timeline, Limitations, Effort

Câu 2. Porter's Five Forces reveals "New entrants have low barriers." This means:

  • A. Good for the company — easy to expand
  • B. Threat — new competitors can enter easily, increasing competition
  • C. No impact
  • D. Opportunity for partnerships

Câu 3. Business objective: "Reduce operational costs by 25% within 18 months through process automation." Is this SMART?

  • A. Yes — it has S (reduce costs), M (25%), A (feasible), R (business-relevant), T (18 months)
  • B. No — missing Specific
  • C. No — missing Measurable
  • D. No — missing Time-bound

Câu 4. NPV = $500,000 for Option A, NPV = -$100,000 for Option B. BA should:

  • A. Choose cheaper option
  • B. Recommend Option A — positive NPV means returns exceed investment
  • C. Choose Option B — negative NPV means less risk
  • D. Need more information

Câu 5. Business Case should include all EXCEPT:

  • A. Problem statement
  • B. Financial analysis (ROI, NPV)
  • C. Risk assessment
  • D. Detailed technical implementation design

Câu 6. Root Cause Analysis: Customer complaints about late deliveries. 5 Whys reveals it's because warehouse staff don't know which orders are urgent. Root cause is:

  • A. Slow delivery trucks
  • B. Lack of order priority visibility in the warehouse system
  • C. Too many orders
  • D. Understaffed warehouse

Câu 7. Gap Analysis identifies 3 critical gaps. BA should:

  • A. Address all gaps simultaneously
  • B. Prioritize gaps by business impact and define phased action plan
  • C. Report gaps and wait for management
  • D. Only address the easiest gap

Câu 8. SWOT: Company has weak digital capabilities (W) but customers want digital-first experience (O). Strategy should be:

  • A. SO — leverage strengths
  • B. WO — invest to overcome weakness and exploit opportunity
  • C. ST — use strength against threats
  • D. WT — defensive

Câu 9. ROI formula is:

  • A. (Cost - Gain) / Cost × 100
  • B. (Gain - Cost) / Cost × 100%
  • C. Gain / Cost
  • D. Cost / Gain × 100%

Câu 10. Business Model Canvas includes which value-focused component?

  • A. Gantt Chart
  • B. Value Propositions — what unique value the business delivers to customers
  • C. RACI Matrix
  • D. ERD

🔑 Đáp án & Giải thích

CâuĐáp ánGiải thích
1BPESTLE = Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, Environmental.
2BLow barriers to entry = threat of new entrants high → more competition.
3AHas all SMART components: S (operational costs), M (25%), A (process automation is feasible), R (business-relevant), T (18 months).
4BPositive NPV = value creation. Negative NPV = value destruction. Choose positive NPV.
5DBusiness Case = strategic level. Detailed technical design belongs in solution design phase, not business case.
6B5 Whys reached: warehouse staff can't see priority → need priority visibility in system.
7BPrioritize by business impact, create phased plan. Don't try everything at once.
8BWeakness + Opportunity = WO strategy — invest to overcome weakness and capture opportunity.
9BROI = (Gain - Cost) / Cost × 100%. Gain $150K, Cost $100K → ROI = 50%.
10BBusiness Model Canvas has "Value Propositions" — the core of what business offers.

📊 Thang đánh giá

Số câu đúngĐánh giáHành động
9-10⭐ Xuất sắcSA Part 1 nắm vững!
7-8✅ TốtÔn lại PESTLE và Financial Analysis formulas
5-6⚠️ Trung bìnhFocus Business Case structure và SWOT strategies
< 5❌ Cần ôn lạiSA 15% — strategic thinking là key differentiator ở CBAP

Tiếp theo: Strategy Analysis nâng cao — Phần 2: Risk & Change Strategy 👉